Check out this Verge article about using algorithms to predict revolutions using Big Data. The forecast comes from WardLab. Check out the sources it references. Yes, they all may have their flaws and shortcomings, but the only way to get better
Predicting where crime will take place
Cop shows up for roll call before patrolling the beat. On her department-issued tablet is a map showing where on her beat crime will likely occur. The map is annotated by notes from veteran cops. She spends a little more
Projecting the future one person at a time: MINT6
As I have mentioned on my nonfiction page, in my day job I get to play with projections of the future thanks to a microsimulation model called MINT (Modeling Income in the Near Term) that projects the retirement outcomes of
Forecasting, Eucatastrophe and Wicked Problems
Sci Fi author Karl Schroeder has been guest blogging on Charlie Stross’ blog about forecasting the future, which of course is total must-read material for me. He had me just by saying that he has a Master’s degree in Strategic
Check out “The School Counselor” at DailyScienceFiction.com
My first published short story (yay!). What if someday high school students expect their guidance counselor to accurately predict their futures? This story began with that question and ended with how students may rethink their friendships in cold probabilistic terms