Mark Sarney

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prediction

The revolution may be forecasted

Check out this Verge article about using algorithms to predict revolutions using Big Data. The forecast comes from WardLab. Check out the sources it references. Yes, they all may have their flaws and shortcomings, but the only way to get better

February 27, 2014 social science Read more

Predicting where crime will take place

Cop shows up for roll call before patrolling the beat. On her department-issued tablet is a map showing where on her beat crime will likely occur. The map is annotated by notes from veteran cops. She spends a little more

July 5, 2012 Nerdy, social science Read more

Projecting the future one person at a time: MINT6

As I have mentioned on my nonfiction page, in my day job I get to play with projections of the future thanks to a microsimulation model called MINT (Modeling Income in the Near Term) that projects the retirement outcomes of

January 21, 2012 Nerdy Read more

Forecasting, Eucatastrophe and Wicked Problems

Sci Fi author Karl Schroeder has been guest blogging on Charlie Stross’ blog about forecasting the future, which of course is total must-read material for me. He had me just by saying that he has a Master’s degree in Strategic

August 4, 2011 Nerdy Read more

Check out “The School Counselor” at DailyScienceFiction.com

My first published short story (yay!). What if someday high school students expect their guidance counselor to accurately predict their futures? This story began with that question and ended with how students may rethink their friendships in cold probabilistic terms

May 1, 2011 Published Read more
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  • The Obesity Conspiracy
  • The Kagent Trilogy
  • Other Fiction
  • The Blog
  • About Me